Asia's pivotal role in climate action stems from its significant contribution to global growth, accounting for about two-thirds last year and expected to do so again in 2024. However, the region's heavy reliance on coal for energy translates into over half of global greenhouse gas emissions
Explained: How Asia Can Unlock $800 Billion of Climate Financing
New Delhi
(ABC Live): Countries in the Asia-Pacific region are confronting a climate
financing shortfall exceeding $800 billion. Given the depletion of public
finances due to the pandemic, it is imperative for policymakers to mobilize
private capital effectively in the battle against global warming.
Addressing
this challenge requires a coordinated and comprehensive effort from various
stakeholders, including governments, central banks, financial supervisors, and
multilateral institutions. Key strategies involve phasing out fossil-fuel
subsidies, which have surged to a record $1.3 trillion. Additionally, expanding
carbon pricing, addressing critical data gaps, and fostering innovative
financing, along with public-private partnerships, are crucial.
Drawing
on our latest research, which incorporates insights from recent chapters of the
Global Financial Stability Report on scaling up climate finance and other IMF
studies on climate issues, we present an overview.
The
urgency of climate finance arises from the sluggish progress in meeting climate
goals. Global temperatures are on track to exceed the critical 1.5 degrees
Celsius threshold above pre-industrial levels. Efforts to halve 2019 greenhouse
gas emissions by 2030 fall significantly short, aiming for only an 11 percent
reduction. Without more robust action, the consequences of a warming planet
pose threats to homes, health, and food security. Mobilizing additional climate
finance is essential not only for emissions mitigation but also for building
adaptive capacity through investments in climate-resilient infrastructure. This
is especially crucial for Asia, given its status as home to major emitters and
its vulnerability to climate change due to high population density and
geography.
Asia's
pivotal role in climate action stems from its significant contribution to
global growth, accounting for about two-thirds last year and expected to do so
again in 2024. However, the region's heavy reliance on coal for energy
translates into over half of global greenhouse gas emissions. Recognizing the
direct impact of climate hazards on lives and livelihoods, Asian economies have
made deeper commitments, as evidenced by their revised Nationally Determined
Contributions under the 2015 Paris Agreement. Asia can play a vital role in the
climate fight by showcasing how to balance economic growth with environmental
sustainability.
How
significant is the funding gap? Asia’s emerging market and developing economies
need investment of at least $1.1 trillion annually to meet mitigation and adaptation
needs. But they’re only getting $333 billion, mostly from sustainable debt
instruments like green bonds, and public sources contribute more than half.
Such a shortfall leaves these economies with a funding gap of at least $815
billion. China leads in attracting climate finance, making major strides in
renewable energy adoption, and its collaborations with the EU have yielded
crucial frameworks for sustainable finance, such as the Common Ground Taxonomy
and stricter China Green Bond Principles.
What are
the biggest challenges? Pacific island countries and other small economies
often have trouble accessing international capital markets or obtaining
financing via global climate funds. In particular, they find it hard to meet
stringent accreditation requirements of global climate funds as their capacity
is already stretched thin and public investment management is challenging. For
larger countries, green bonds may be as costly as conventional securities
because investors appear to be less trusting of green characteristics in Asia’s
sustainable debt instruments. These issues underscore the broader challenges
for the region’s funding aspirations.
What do
countries say? A survey of 19 countries in Asia revealed important gaps in
data, disclosures, and taxonomies, and that these are exacerbated by
inconsistent national climate policies that can promote fossil fuel subsidies.
These deficiencies undermine investor confidence in forward-looking targets and
transition. Greenwashing also is a risk, respondents say, because it can call
into question the legitimacy of environmental claims made by bond issuers. In
addition, increasing geoeconomic fragmentation, including friend-shoring and
fraying global supply chains, could threaten cooperative and collective action
to contain climate change.
Action to
unlock much more climate finance requires coordination among agencies
overseeing climate initiatives, plus collaboration between local and global
entities:
How can
Asia’s governments help? One way will be to comprehensively enhance the
framework on data, taxonomies, and disclosures. They should phase out fossil
fuel subsidies and expand carbon pricing, which would generate revenue for
sustainable public investment. This would help boost investment in green
technology, jobs, and growth, while supporting vulnerable households. Measures
that strengthen macroeconomic and public investment management will help reduce
risk premiums and funding costs, drive economic growth, and attract private
capital.
Where do
central banks and financial supervisors fit in? They should promote global
standards for transparent and consistent disclosures, while strengthening
climate risk analyses and incorporating climate-related financial risks into
prudential frameworks to enhance financial stability. Lastly, collaborating
with multilateral standard setters to develop internal capacity is crucial for
improving the clarity and reliability of ESG score ratings, fostering greater
trust and understanding in these evaluations.
What is the IMF’s role?The Fund is working with member countries to better detail climate-related economic risks and policies in surveillance and lending activities. The IMF also is strengthening data and statistics, including through capacity building and peer learning, to develop common standards for measuring and analyzing climate risk. Finally, our Resilience and Sustainability Trust can help vulnerable low- and middle-income countries catalyze financing from other sources by restoring sound macroeconomic management and building the institutional capacity of the public sector. Other multilateral organizations can provide more grant financing and concessional lending, and risk-mitigating mechanisms can help expand their lending capacity. Cooperation among multilateral institutions is essential to align efforts and resources to achieve a balanced allocation between mitigation and adaptation lending.